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现有关于外国直接投资与中国经济增长关系研究的文章研究视角单一。本文在新增长理论和国内学者关于地方保护问题的有关研究基础上,引入了政府这个因素,构建了外国直接投资与政府、经济增长间关系的数理分析模型。在此基础上选取了有关变量,利用ADF检验、VAR模型、Granger因果检验和协整检验以及VECM模型进行实证分析。最后,在数理模型和计量模型的有关结论基础上得出本文的结论:中国引入外资政策基本是失败的,中国的引资政策必须调整。本文在此基础上提出了进一步研究的方向。
The existing articles on the study of the relationship between FDI and China’s economic growth have a single perspective. On the basis of the new growth theory and the domestic scholars’ research on the local protection, this paper introduces the factor of government and constructs the mathematical analysis model of the relationship between FDI and government and economic growth. On this basis, the relevant variables are selected, and the empirical analysis is carried out by using ADF test, VAR model, Granger causality test, cointegration test and VECM model. Finally, based on the relevant conclusions of the mathematical model and the econometric model, this paper draws the conclusion that the policy of introducing foreign investment in China is basically unsuccessful, and the policy of attracting foreign investment in China must be adjusted. Based on this, this paper puts forward the direction of further research.