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展望2016年,国际经济更为复杂,世界经济延续温和复苏态势,全球不均衡发展或者分化仍是关键词。一方面,以美国为主的发达国家温和复苏,新兴经济体由于结构性问题凸显,下行风险加大;另一方面货币政策进一步分化,加大全球资本流动以及金融市场波动,这也将加大我国宏观经济调控难度。国内经济筑底企稳迹象进一步显现,但产能过剩依然严重、供求的结构性失衡等结构性问题依然凸显,以需求
Looking to 2016, the international economy is more complicated and the world economy will continue its moderate recovery. The global imbalanced development or differentiation is still the key word. On the one hand, the mild recovery of the developed countries dominated by the United States will result in the emerging economies becoming more exposed to downside risks due to their structural problems. On the other hand, the further diversification of monetary policies and the increase of global capital flows and financial market volatility will also increase China’s macroeconomic regulation and control difficulty. The signs of stabilizing the domestic economy show signs of further bottomed out, but overcapacity is still serious. The structural problems such as the structural imbalance between supply and demand are still prominent. With demand