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本文在构建政府支出和居民消费的动态面板数据模型基础上,利用我国1997-2006年的省份面板数据对政府支出的居民消费效应进行实证分析。结果表明:政府投资性支出对城镇和农村居民消费产生了微弱的挤出效应;政府社会性支出和政府转移性支出对城镇和农村居民产生了微弱的引致效应;不同的政府支出结构对城镇和农村居民消费产生的效果存在显著差异性。
Based on the construction of the dynamic panel data model of government expenditure and household consumption, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the resident consumption effect of government expenditure by using the provincial panel data from 1997 to 2006 in our country. The results show that: the government investment expenditure has a weak crowding-out effect on the urban and rural residents ’consumption; the government social expenditure and the government’s transfer expenditure have a weak inducing effect on the urban and rural residents; different government expenditure structures have a negative effect on the urban and rural residents’ The effects of rural residents’ consumption have significant differences.