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分析了传统公路建设项目交通量预测方法存在的主要问题。从综合运输的角度出发,提出了基于综合运输网络的公路建设项目交通量预测方法,并对预测方法涉及的具体模型进行了讨论。认为应用该方法可以客观反映公路与其它运输方式之间的作用关系、准确描述交通量的转移规律、充分把握建设项目在综合运输网络中的作用和地位,使预测结果更加合理、有效。
The main problems existing in the traffic volume forecasting method of traditional highway construction project are analyzed. From the perspective of integrated transport, a traffic forecasting method for highway construction project based on integrated transport network is proposed, and the specific models involved in the forecasting method are discussed. It is considered that the application of the method can objectively reflect the interaction between roads and other modes of transport, accurately describe the transfer rules of traffic volume, fully grasp the role and status of construction projects in integrated transport networks, and make the forecasting results more reasonable and effective.