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尽管新兴市场经济体增长连续放缓,但相对于发达经济体的低迷,新兴市场在世界产出中所占比例将不断提高,在世界增长中仍将占最大份额。同时,结构改革、美联储加息预期延后、区域一体化再度兴起以及南南合作中的金融创新等都将为新兴市场经济体发展模式转型及增强抵御风险能力提供巨大的机遇。2 0 1 5年世界经济形势可用“增长分化,风险隐现”高度概括。前者指,增长分化的趋势不仅出现在发达经济体和新兴市场经济体之间,而且也发生在各自的内部。后者意味着,
Despite the continuous slowdown in the growth of emerging market economies, emerging markets will continue to increase their share of world output relative to the downturn in advanced economies and will account for the largest share of world growth. At the same time, structural reforms, delayed Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, the resurgence of regional integration and financial innovation in South-South cooperation will all provide tremendous opportunities for the transformation of the development model of emerging market economies and their ability to withstand risks. World Economic Situation Available in 2015 “High Growth Differentiation, Risk Lost” Highly Generalized. The former refers to the trend of growth differentiation not only between advanced economies and emerging market economies, but also within their own. The latter means that,