人的行为,总的来看,分为两类,个别场合又有交叉重合。但全面考虑时,它们之间的差异是可以观察到的。有时,人们几乎毫无预见地行为,不去检查他们所做的及其后果;他们的行为不是经过深思熟虑,而是出于常规、本能、赤裸裸的欲望或者盲目的“直觉”。假定这种行为总是低效率且不成功的——这样做法是错误的。当我们不喜欢这种行为时,便指责它喜怒无常、武断、轻率和马虎。但在其他场合,我们却又赞扬本能或直观的那种奇妙的正确性。我们宁愿接受专家的漫不经心的评价,也不愿接受一个信息不灵的人精心计算所得出 Human behavior, in general, is divided into two categories, some occasions have overlap. When fully considered, however, the differences between them are observable. At times, people behave almost unpredictably, not to examine what they do and their consequences; their behavior is not thoughtful, but out of routine, instinct, naked desire, or blind “intuition.” It is always wrong to assume that such behavior is inefficient and unsuccessful. When we dislike this kind of behavior, we accuse it of being moody, arbitrary, reckless and sloppy. But on other occasions, we praise the fantastic correctness of instinct or intuition. We would rather accept the careless evaluation of experts than to accept the careful calculation of an ill-informed person