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以一系列新兴科学为后盾的新技术革命,将在哪些方面和怎样改变未来?国外学者对此有种种预测。预测未来,就是根据当前科学技术水平和社会发展现状展望未来如何演变。虽然长期预测未必都能准确无误,但一切科学预测都有着坚实的现实基础。一九五四年,苏联《知识就是力量》杂志公布:人类登上月球的理想可于一九七四年前实现。结果美国宇航员于一九六九年七月二十一日踏上月球,比预测提前好几年。科学预测研究,从五六十年代起在欧美国家获得了广泛发展。美国有《白宫展望未来》小组,联邦德国成立了《未来研究中心》,英国有《未来三十年委员会》,苏联则动员了全国约两千名科学家和有实践经验的工作人员参加这一工作。了解各国学者对科技发展前景的预测,可以开阔我们的视野。本刊根据有关资料,整理编辑成此文,供读者参考。
In what ways and how will the future of the new technological revolution, backed by a series of emerging sciences, change? The foreign scholars have made various forecasts about this. Predict the future, is based on the current level of science and technology and social development status of the future prospects of how to evolve. Although long-term forecasts may not be accurate, all scientific predictions have a solid foundation of reality. In 1954, “Knowledge is Power” was published in the Soviet Union. The ideal of man on the moon could be achieved before 1974. As a result, astronauts embarked on the moon on July 21, 1969, several years earlier than predicted. Scientific forecasting research has gained extensive development in Europe and the United States since the 1950s and 1960s. The United States has a group of “White House Prospects for the Future”, the Federal Republic of Germany set up a “future research center”, the United Kingdom “Commission for the next 30 years”, and the Soviet Union mobilized about 2,000 scientists and practical staff from across the country to participate in this work . Understanding the forecasts made by scholars in various countries on the prospects of science and technology can broaden our horizons. According to the publication of relevant information, compiled into this article, for readers reference.