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针对老年人个体出行行为——出行链性质的研究是制定老龄化社会出行需求管理政策的依据。本文对北京市60岁以上部分老年人的出行链进行访谈调查,运用描述性分析和Ordered Probit模型,分析老年人出行链性质,通过研究家庭结构、伤残状况、社会经济属性等因素对老年人出行链性质的影响,表明老年人的出行以居家生活购物与养老休闲娱乐为主,且家庭收入、家庭成员组成与结构以及伤残情况对出行链复杂性有着决定性影响。制定公交普遍服务政策满足老年人的基本出行,要有利于老年人的购物与休闲娱乐需要。
Aiming at individual travel behavior of the elderly - The study of the nature of the travel chain is the basis for formulating the demand management policy of travel in the aging society. This paper investigates the travel links of some seniors over the age of 60 in Beijing by using the descriptive analysis and the Ordered Probit model to analyze the characteristics of the travel chain of the elderly and to study the influence of the family structure, disability and social economic attributes on the elderly The nature of the travel chain, indicating that the elderly travel home life shopping and the main entertainment and leisure, and family income, family composition and structure and disability have a decisive impact on the complexity of the travel chain. The development of universal service policy to meet the basic public transport services for the elderly, to facilitate the elderly shopping and entertainment needs.