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国际能源署2012年11月发布《世界能源展望》预计,到2017年美国将超越沙特成为全球最大产油国,到2035年美国将基本实现能源自给自足。尽管近年来有关美国非常规油气开发将推动国际能源格局转变的论断不绝于耳,但国际能源署对美国能源前景的这一预测最为乐观。
The IEA’s World Energy Outlook in November 2012 predicts that the United States will surpass Saudi Arabia to become the world’s largest oil producer by 2017 and that the United States will basically achieve energy self-sufficiency by 2035. Despite the persistence of recent assertions that the unconventional oil and gas development in the United States will promote the transformation of the international energy landscape, this IEA projection of the energy outlook in the United States is the most optimistic.