随着现代科技与经济的飞速发展,各级政府对宏观决策的科学性要求愈来俞高。在决策过程中需要借助各种管理科学进行大量的定性、定量分析,才能保证决策的全面周到,避免发生偏差。强化对经济运行的监测预测,也是为了及时了解和掌握经济生活中存在的问题,从而提高对未来经济走势的判断能力。从这一角度出发,我们运用宏观监测和预警模型等现代化经济分析方法,对我省经济目前所处状态、变化速率和发展方向作出定量分析和判断。建立科学的监测预警系统,首先要科学地选择一些有代表性的经济指标,逐月分析综合经济景气指数 With the rapid development of modern science and technology and economy, the scientific requirements of macro-level governments at all levels have become increasingly high. In the decision-making process, we need a large amount of qualitative and quantitative analysis with various management sciences to ensure the comprehensiveness and decision-making of the decision-making and avoid deviation. Strengthening the monitoring and forecasting of the economic operation is also to keep abreast of and grasp the problems in economic life so as to enhance the ability to judge future economic trends. From this perspective, we use modern economic analysis methods such as macro-monitoring and early-warning models to make quantitative analysis and judgment on the present state, rate of change and development direction of our province’s economy. To establish a scientific monitoring and early warning system, we must first select some representative economic indicators scientifically and analyze the comprehensive economic sentiment index