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通过对2016、2017年光伏标杆电价的对比分析,计算电价变化幅度,从资源、成本、收益三维度建立财务分析模型,在6.0、6.5、7.0、7.5元/W 4个成本条件下,测算对应新旧电价下的收益率,以8%的全投资税前内部收益率倒推满足条件的各类电价区的4个成本所对应的满发小时数。同时,基于上述测算的数据,对影响收益的几个因素进行敏感性分析,研究收益率与成本的关系,最后给出2017年新电价下的投资建议。
By comparing and analyzing the price of PV benchmark in 2016 and 2017, we can calculate the range of price change, establish the financial analysis model from the three dimensions of resource, cost and revenue. Under the condition of 6.0, 6.5, 7.0 and 7.5 yuan / W, The rate of return under old and new tariffs, with 8% of the total investment pre-tax internal rate of return of all types of electricity prices to meet the conditions of the four costs corresponding to the full number of hours. At the same time, based on the above measured data, this paper conducts a sensitivity analysis on several factors that affect earnings and studies the relationship between returns and costs. Finally, the investment recommendations under new tariffs are given.