人们的期望在很多时候依靠着猜想。中国人对亚特兰大奥运会的期望在一定程度上依靠着对中国体育代表团所获金牌的猜想。猜想的程度决定着期望值。北京体育大学教授卢元镇最近发表谈话,他指出,当一个人,一个民族对自己的选手在奥运会的成绩淡漠几近于无的时候,这个人,这个民族是“断乎没有什么希望的”;可倘若将国家、民族的荣辱兴衰系于奥运金牌之上时,这个民族又失之于脆弱和沉重。 People’s expectations often rely on conjecture. Chinese expectations of the Atlanta Olympic Games depend to some extent on the contention of the gold medal won by the Chinese sports delegation. The degree of conjecture determines the expected value. Lu Yuanzhen, a professor at Beijing Sport University, recently delivered a speech. He pointed out: When a person or a nation expresses indifference to his or her performance at the Olympic Games, he or she is “without any hope”. However, if the rise and fall of the nation and nation over the Olympic gold medal, the nation lost its vulnerability and heavy weight.