Real-time flood forecast and flood alert map over the Huaihe River Basin in China using a coupled hy

来源 :Science in China(Series E:Technological Sciences) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:lw8307817
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
A coupled hydro-meteorological modeling system is established for real-time flood forecast and flood alert over the Huaihe River Basin in China. The system consists of the mesoscale atmospheric model MC2 (Canadian Mesoscale Compressible Community) that is one-way coupled to the Chinese Xinanjiang distributed hydrological model, a grid-based flow routing model, and a module for acquiring real-time gauge precipitation. The system had been successfully tested in a hindcast mode using 1998 and 2003 flood cases in the basin, and has been running daily in a real-time mode for the summers of 2005 and 2006 over the Wangjiaba sub-basin of the Huaihe River Basin. The MC2 precipitation combined with gauge values is used to drive the Xinanjiang model for hydrograph prediction and production of flood alert map. The performance of the system is illustrated through an examination of real-time flood forecasts for the severe flood case of July 4―15, 2005 over the sub-basin, which was the first and largest flood event encountered to date. The 96-h forecasts of MC2 precipitation are first evaluated using observations from 41 rain gauges over the sub-basin. The forecast hydrograph is then validated with observations at the Wangjiaba outlet of the sub-basin. MC2 precipitation generally compares well with gauge values. The flood peak was predicted well in both timing and intensity in the 96-hour forecast using the combined gauge-MC2 precipitation. The real-time flood alert map can spatially display the propagation of forecast floods over the sub-basin. Our forecast hydrograph was used as opera-tional guidance by the Bureau of Hydrograph, Ministry of Water Resources. Such guidance has been proven very useful for the Office of State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters in operational decision making for flood management. The encouraging results demonstrate the potential of using mesoscale atmospheric model precipitation for real-time flood forecast, which can result in a longer lead time compared to traditional methods. A coupled hydro-meteorological modeling system is established for real-time flood forecast and flood alert over the Huaihe River Basin in China. The system consists of the mesoscale atmospheric model MC2 (Canadian Mesoscale Compressible Community) that is one-way coupled to the Chinese The system had been successfully tested in a hindcast mode using 1998 and 2003 flood cases in the basin, and has been running daily in a real-time mode for the summers of 2005 and 2006 over the Wangjiaba sub-basin of the Huaihe River Basin. The MC2 precipitation combined with gauge values ​​is used to drive the Xinanjiang model for hydrograph prediction and production of flood alert map. The performance of the system is illustrated through an examination of real-time flood forecasts for the severe flood case of July 4-15, 2005 over the sub-basin, which was the first and la The 96-h forecasts of MC2 precipitation are first of observations using observations from 41 rain gauges over the sub-basin. The forecast of hydrographs was observed with the observations at the Wangjiaba outlet of the sub-basin. The flood peak was predicted well in both timing and intensity in the 96-hour forecast using the combined gauge-MC2 precipitation. The real-time flood alert map can spatially display the propagation of forecast floods over the sub -basin. Our forecast hydrograph was used as opera-tional guidance by the Bureau of Hydrograph, Ministry of Water Resources. Such guidance has been proven very useful for the Office of State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters in operational decision making for flood management. The encouraging results demonstrate the potential of using mesoscale atmospheric model precipitation for real-time flood forecast, which can result in a longer lead time compared to traditional methods.
其他文献
德国艺术家Juergen Staack(于尔根·斯塔克)的作品“Transcription-Image(传达-图形)”由3个环节组成。在被称为“Deleted(抹消)”的第一个环节中,人们看到一张被墨笔涂抹掉
在充分考虑影响气门弹簧设计各因素模糊性的情况下,以抗疲劳破坏的安全系数达到最大为目标,建立了气门弹簧的模糊优化数学模型,给出了求解该模型的方法. Taking into account th
早晨上班,一打开电脑,便收到了包老师夜里十一点多发出的这封邮件。读着邮件,我的心情便激动起来。作为《新作文·小学作文创新教学》这本杂志的负责人,一是感叹包老师对我们
海上货运代理人在国际贸易中参与货物的整个运输过程,普遍存在的争议之一就是未成功收取运输相关费用时,货运代理人行使同时履行抗辩权拒绝交付提单及相关运输单证,以促使委
在专利申请以及专利授权中,社会公众与申请人或专利权人之间产生了具体的法律关系,本文通过具体的法律关系的权利义务之间的联系,探讨了专利申请修改超范围问题,并且对专利申
圣诞夜来啦,Emily带着她的狗狗Clifford去买圣诞礼物。聪明的Clifford给Emily准备了惊喜呢。那狗狗Clifford也会收到他想要的礼物吗?一起来看故事吧!  1. It’s Christmas Eve. Emily and Clifford go to buy some Christmas presents.  圣诞夜到了。Emily和Clifford去买圣诞礼物啦。  2.
以技术效果为线索,对说明书公开充分、实用性、创造性和新颖性的确定与技术效果的关系进行了分析,然后通过技术效果得出了说明书公开充分、实用性和创造性和新颖性之间的逻辑
胡锦涛总书记在党的十七大上明确提出了建设生态文明的目标,标志着我国由以经济建设为中心的发展模式,向经济发展兼顾生态保护的发展模式转变。在此背景下,对同样缘起于生态
人物 面包狼皮特、性急先生、光头博士、糊涂先生、贪心富婆  地点 马路边    【性急先生急匆匆地穿过马路,跑到面包店。】  性急先生 面包狼,听说面包要涨价,我买下所有的面包!  皮特 面包要涨价?我不知道,谁说要涨价?  性急先生 大家都在议论物价上涨的事,商店都搬空了。别耽误时间,快把所有的面包拿出来。    【皮特搬出所有的面包,装在两个大纸箱里。性急先生付了钱,扛起大纸箱,走了。】  皮
公司法作为市场经济的产物,其产生适应了市场经济发展的需要。在我国公司法中,明确规定公司以实现资产的保值增值为目的,即以营利为目的。但另一方面,仅仅考虑交易效率是片面