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结合SWAT模型对新疆叶尔羌河某子流域的地下水埋深进行预测,定量分析气候变化环境下研究区域地下水动态响应变化。研究结果表明:SWAT模型适用于区域地下水埋深的动态预测,预测精度较高。相比于降水变化,气温变化下区域地下水动态响应度更高,对新疆叶尔羌河流域地下水埋深影响更大。研究成果对于新疆叶尔羌河流域地下水保护规划提供参考价值。
Combined with SWAT model, the groundwater depth of a certain Yarkand River sub-basin in Xinjiang was predicted, and the dynamic response of groundwater in the study area under climate change was quantitatively analyzed. The results show that the SWAT model is suitable for the dynamic prediction of groundwater depth in the region with high prediction accuracy. Compared with the change of precipitation, the dynamic responsivity of groundwater in the region with temperature change is higher, which has a greater impact on the groundwater depth in the Yarkant River Basin in Xinjiang. The research results provide reference value for the groundwater protection planning in the Yarkant River Basin in Xinjiang.