中国煤炭工业发展研究咨询中心预计 ,如果维持现有规模 ,2 0 0 5年、2 0 10年和 2 0 2 0年我国煤炭供应能力将分别为 15 .3亿t、15 .5亿t和 14 .3亿t。煤炭供应能力在 2 0 10年将达到顶峰 ,随后开始下降。据统计 ,2 0 0 2年我国有国有煤矿 2 182处 ,生产能力 8.36亿t ,原煤产量 China Coal Industry Development Research and Consulting Center predicts that if the existing scale is maintained, China’s coal supply capacity in 2000, 2010 and 2020 will be 1,530 million tons, 1,550 million tons and 143 million t. The coal supply capacity will peak in 2010 and then begin to decline. According to statistics, in 2001, China had 2,182 state-owned coal mines, with a production capacity of 836 million tons and a production of raw coal