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改革开放30多年来,我国经济发展取得了举世瞩目的成就,其中,人口红利在这一过程中起到了重要的推动作用,人口红利这一现象也引起了越来越多学者的关注。但是,随着人口转变阶段的变化,人口红利趋于减弱,建立在过度依赖人口红利基础上的经济发展是不可持续的。本文采用计量模型、统计分析方法,研究我国人口红利和经济发展之间的相关性,并提出了延缓人口红利消失时间,保持经济持续、高速、协调发展的政策建议。
Over the past 30 years since the reform and opening up, China’s economic development has made remarkable achievements. Among them, the demographic dividend has played an important role in promoting this process. The phenomenon of demographic dividend has also attracted more and more scholars’ attention. However, as demographic transitions change, demographic dividends tend to weaken, and economic growth based on over-reliance on demographic dividends is unsustainable. This essay adopts the econometric model and the statistical analysis method to study the correlation between the demographic dividend and the economic development in our country and puts forward the policy suggestions to delay the vanishing time of the demographic dividend and maintain the sustained, rapid and coordinated development of the economy.