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以乌鲁木齐铁路局物资计划管理现状为对象进行简要分析,总结3种物资计划管理模式的优缺点,提出了时间序列分解工具的概念和实施步骤,介绍了最小二乘线性回归分析在时间序列分解工具中的应用方法。重点通过具体案例,借助时间序列分解理念和方法,建立数学模型,精确预测准确度,提高物资需求计划管理的工作效率。
This paper briefly analyzes the status quo of materials planning management in Urumqi Railway Bureau, summarizes the advantages and disadvantages of the three kinds of material planning management modes, puts forward the concept and implementation steps of the time series decomposition tools, introduces the least squares linear regression analysis in the time series decomposition tools In the application method. Emphasis is put on the specific case, with the aid of time series decomposition idea and method, the mathematical model is established, the accuracy is predicted accurately and the work efficiency of material demand planning management is improved.