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航材的消耗规律一直是航材部门探求、寻找的问题,同时也一直是困绕航材管理人员的问题之一。以往,人们只凭经验或用求平均数的方法来预测航材的需求量,这在实物供应、无限补给的过去,问题不大。随着航材供应的改革,航材工作已由原来的实物供应转变为“指标控制,计价供应”的供应保障体制,这对航材需求预测的精确性提出了更高的要求。为此,应用数学方法模清各类航材的消耗规律,正确预测其需求量,对库存器材合理储存就成为一个重要的问题。
Consumption of aviation materials has been aviation materials sector exploration, looking for the problem, but also has been trapped around the material management staff one of the problems. In the past, people simply predicted the demand for aviation materials on the basis of experience or the method of averaging, which was not a problem in the past when the supply of physical goods and supplies were endless. With the reform of aviation material supply, the work of aviation materials has been transformed from the original physical supply into the supply guarantee system of “index control and pricing supply”, which puts forward higher requirements on the accuracy of aviation material demand forecasting. Therefore, it is an important problem to apply mathematical method to clear the consumption law of all kinds of aviation materials and correctly forecast the demand.