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中国市场率先止跌回稳。展望2010年,宏观经济各项指标逐步好转,市场逐步进入良好的经济增长状态,对有色金属价格形成长期利好。中国因素继续吸引世界的眼球,我们认为中国电力、家电、房地产和汽车的增长都将在15%以上。全球有色金属库存方面的压力依然存在,2010年世界各国退出“刺激经济政策”将会促使流动性收紧,从而对金属市场带来负面中击。
The Chinese market took the lead to stabilize. Looking forward to 2010, the macroeconomic indicators gradually improved, the market gradually entered a good state of economic growth, the long-term positive impact on the price of non-ferrous metals. Chinese factors continue to attract the attention of the world. We think the growth of China’s electricity, home appliances, real estate and automobiles will all be above 15%. Pressure on global non-ferrous metal stocks still exists and the withdrawal of “stimulus economic policies” by countries around the world in 2010 will result in tighter liquidity and a negative impact on the metal market.