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从1984年奥运经济蓬勃发展以来,各届奥运会举办国在奥运会举办前后的经济形势得到世界的广泛关注,奥运经济周期应运而生。中国,作为29届北京奥运会的主办国,在经历了20年的GDP高速增长后,它的经济是否会向以往举办国一样进入奥运经济周期,或者产生新的经济变革,本文将从各国奥运经济特点与奥运经济周期规律,以及经济周期的影响因素着手,针对奥运经济用北京的GDP拟合与体育产业投资的变动趋势,从而回归出北京奥运经济的波动形式,进行定量回归分析与宏观观测,以考察中国奥运经济与各届奥运会的周期性差异与变动原因分析。
Since the vigorous development of the Olympic economy in 1984, the economic situation around host countries of the Olympic Games around the Olympic Games has drawn extensive attention in the world. The Olympic economic cycle has emerged as the times require. As the host country of the 29th Beijing Olympic Games, after its rapid GDP growth in 20 years, China, whether its economy will enter the Olympic economic cycle or generate new economic changes like the previous host countries, will start from the Olympic economy Characteristics and the economic cycle of the Olympic Games as well as the factors that affect the economic cycle. In view of the trend of Beijing’s GDP fitting and the sports industry investment in Olympic economy, the fluctuation pattern of the Beijing Olympic economy is regressed, and the quantitative regression analysis and macroscopic observation are carried out. To examine the cyclical differences and changes in the Olympic economy in China and each Olympic Games.