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本文以省科学技术基金项目“企业市场预测系统的研究”为依托,以鞍山某金融机具公司为背景,对金融机具销售组合预测进行了深入的研究.首先,应用定量和定性预测方法进行单项预测,然后应用组合预测方法进一步修正预测值,最后运用定性影响因素修正定量预测结果.并且应用此方法对JL302微型纸币清分机2009年销售量进行预测,结果表明此方法优于以往各种方法.用定性修正定量的方法更适用于金融机具产品的销售量预测.
Based on the Provincial Science and Technology Fund Project “Research on Enterprise Market Prediction System ” and the background of a financial instrument company in Anshan, this paper studies the forecast of financial instrument sales portfolio.Firstly, the quantitative and qualitative prediction methods Single forecast, and then use the combined forecasting method to further amend the forecast value, and finally use the qualitative factors to correct the quantitative forecast results.And this method is applied to JL302 micro-banknote sorter sales forecast in 2009, the results show that this method is superior to the previous methods The method of quantitatively using qualitative correction is more suitable for the prediction of sales volume of financial machinery products.