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据《中国化工信息》社2005年7月11日第27期报道,国家发改委在制定产业政策和中长期发展规划时,同中国工程院对钢铁消费总量进行了测算。预计2005年我国需要钢约3亿t(不锈钢板400万t),2010年3.4亿t(不锈钢板600万t),2015年3.5亿t,2020年可能降为3.2亿t(不锈钢板800万t)。我国钢铁需求大约在2015年达到高峰,约在3.5亿t左右,且可长期稳定一段时间或逐步减少。按此发展,我国在本世纪前20年钢的累积量可达约60亿t,总的钢消费累积量可达80亿t。
According to “China Chemical Information” January 27, 2005 No. 27 reported that the National Development and Reform Commission in the formulation of industrial policies and long-term development plan, with the Chinese Academy of Engineering on the total amount of steel consumption were measured. It is estimated that in 2005 China needs about 300 million tons of steel (4 million tons of stainless steel), 340 million tons (6 million tons of stainless steel) in 2010, 350 million tons in 2015 and 320 million tons in 2020 (8 million stainless steel plates t). China’s steel demand peaked in about 2015, about 350 million tons, and can be stable for a long period of time or gradually reduced. According to this development, the cumulative amount of steel in China in the first 20 years of this century can reach about 6 billion tons, and the total accumulated steel consumption can reach 8 billion tons.