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李京文研究员,中国社会科学院数量经济技术经济研究所所长.他对当前经济形势的基本判断是,从1991年至2010年是中国发展的黄金时代,中国将在这20年内起飞.当前中国经济总形势是好的,但问题仍不少.经济形势 总体较好李京文分析道,之所以讲当前总形势是好的,那是因为:(1)宏观调控和体制改革都取得了很好的效果.1993年6—7月开始的宏观调控基本上获得预期效果;金融秩序得到整顿,房地产热、证券热、开发热已经降温;1994年初的财税、金融、汇率并轨、外贸等项重大改革都未引起重大震动;在通货膨胀率如此高的情况下,人民币币值对外不仅未贬值.相反还升值,外汇存底增加100多亿.
Li Jingwen researcher and director of the Institute of Quantitative and Technical Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.His basic judgment on the current economic situation is that China will take off within 20 years from the golden age of China’s development from 1991 to 2010. At present, The situation is good, but there are still many problems. The economic situation is generally good. Li Jingwen analyzes the reason why the current general situation is good because: (1) Both macroeconomic control and structural reform have achieved good results. The macro-control started from June to July 1993 basically achieved the desired results. The financial order was rectified. Real estate fever, securities fever and development fever had cooled down. Major reforms in fiscal, taxation, finance and exchange rate, foreign trade and other major reforms in early 1994 did not result in any significant changes. Great shock; in the case of such a high inflation rate, not only did the RMB value of the foreign currency not be devalue, but also the appreciation of the value of foreign exchange reserves increased by more than 100 billion.