论文部分内容阅读
在过去十年里,全球发展模型（全球模型）起初只是几群热心者进行的早期实验,现在逐渐发展成为独立的研究领域,研究规模日趋增大,成立了一些学会,受到了政府、国际组织、以及联合国的关注。在联合国的主持下,现正在拟订各项地区性和全球性的计划。 随着科学技术的发展,人们愈来愈需要对今后五十年或一百年内人类发展的主要趋势作具体的科学预测,需要掌握一些能有目的地影响这种发展的有效方法。在日益紧迫的全球性问题中,有确立持久和平和公正的国际合作问题;有合理使用自然资源和满足能源需要问题;
Over the past decade, the global development model (the global model) was initially an early experiment conducted by several enthusiasts. Now it has gradually developed into an independent field of research. The scale of the study has been growing and some societies have been established. Governments, international organizations , As well as the concern of the United Nations. Under the auspices of the United Nations, various regional and global plans are being drafted. With the development of science and technology, there is an increasing need for concrete scientific predictions of major trends in human development over the next 50 or 100 years, and there is a need to master some effective ways to influence this development purposefully. Among the increasingly pressing global issues are the establishment of lasting peace and fair international cooperation; the rational use of natural resources and the fulfillment of energy needs;