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一个经济体,当其人均收入达到3000美元后,快速发展积累的各种矛盾会集中爆发,如经济停滞、政治动荡、就业困难、创新力缺乏、金融体系脆弱等,使之长期无法进入高等收入行列,陷入所谓的“中等收入陷阱”。世界银行研究显示,1960年全球101个中等收入经济体中,仅有13个跨越这个陷阱。作为世界第二大经济体,今后五年将是中国能否跨越这一关口的决定性的时期。
In an economy, when its per capita income reaches 3,000 U.S. dollars, various contradictions resulting from the rapid development and accumulation will erupt, such as economic stagnation, political turmoil, employment difficulties, lack of innovation and the fragile financial system, which will make it impossible for them to enter the higher income for a long period of time Ranks, into the so-called “middle income trap ”. According to World Bank research, only 13 out of 101 middle-income economies in the world crossed this trap in 1960. As the second largest economy in the world, the next five years will be the decisive period for China to cross this threshold.