介绍了常州市综合交通模型的总体架构,包括总体目标、模型结构、以及模型应用平台等。基于居民出行调查、核查线流量车速调查等,建立现状交通模型,对现状交通运营状况进行评价分析;在现状基年交通模型的基础上,采用传统“四阶段”方法,结合用地、人口、岗位等资料,进行回归分析,建立出行生成模型、步行预划分模型、出行分布模型以及交通流量分配模型,并预测常州市高架路的交通流量,及对周边道路交通影响进行预测分析。 The general framework of Changzhou comprehensive traffic model is introduced, including the overall goal, model structure, model application platform and so on. Based on the resident travel survey and verification of the traffic flow survey of line flow, the current traffic model was established and the status quo of traffic operation was evaluated and analyzed. On the basis of the current traffic model of the base year, the traditional “four-stage” method was used to combine the land use, population , Post and other data for regression analysis to establish travel generation model, walking pre-division model, travel distribution model and traffic flow distribution model, and forecast the Changzhou City elevated road traffic flow, and the surrounding road traffic impact prediction and analysis.