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针对大风浪天气发生的海损事故,运用灰色系统理论中的关联分析方法,建立了大风浪海损事故与其致因间的关联矩阵,进行了事故原因的灰色关联分析,从定量的角度得出造成海损事故的主因是船舶不适航和人为因素,不仅有助于船长在大风浪天气开航前,根据船舶的航次特点,有针对性地做好防止海损事故发生的预防措施,提高船舶的适航性和大风浪中的操船水平,也为大风浪天气中的安全评估的评估体系的确定提供了科学的理论依据,具有实际意义和应用价值.
Aiming at the sea damage accidents caused by big storms and waves, a gray relational analysis of the causes of storms is established by using the correlation analysis method of gray system theory. The correlation analysis of the causes of accidents is established. From the quantitative point of view, The main reason of the accident is that the ship is not seaworthy and human-induced, which not only helps the captain to make preventive measures against sea damage accident and improve the seaworthiness of the ship according to the characteristics of the voyage of the ship before the start of the storm and windy weather And the level of shipwreck in the storms also provide a scientific theoretical basis for the determination of the assessment system for the safety assessment in big storm weather and have practical significance and application value.