本文从总结“六五”期间农村产业结构变迁的经验出发,分析并预测了农村产业结构变革的发展趋势及其在宏观上对农村能源供求关系所产生的影响。指出:一、农村产业结构的变革必须有一个稳定发展的农业作为基础,而农业生产的发展和劳动生产率的提高,必须需要投入大量的能源。二、随着农业现代化水平的提高及人口的增加,农村剩余劳动力也必然转向其它产业。三、今后以运输业、商业为代表的第三产业的需求和地位,将会变得日益重要,虽然所需能源量较少,但均为电力和油品等优质能源,在预测能源需求时应予以重视。四、由农村产业结构变化引起的农村劳动力就业结构的变化,势必导致农村居住结构的巨大变化,这种变化对全国能源供需形势必将产生巨大的影 Based on the experience of rural industrial structure change during the period of the Sixth Five-Year Plan, this paper analyzes and predicts the development trend of rural industrial structure change and its impact on rural energy supply and demand in macro terms. Pointed out: First, the transformation of rural industrial structure must have a stable development of agriculture as the basis, and the development of agricultural production and labor productivity, we must invest a lot of energy. Second, with the improvement of the level of agricultural modernization and the increase of population, rural surplus labor force will inevitably turn to other industries. Thirdly, the demand and status of the tertiary industry represented by the transportation industry and commerce will become increasingly important in the future. Although the amount of energy required is small, they are all high-quality energy sources such as electricity and oil products. In forecasting energy demand Should be given attention. 4. Changes in the employment structure of rural labor force caused by changes in rural industrial structure will inevitably lead to tremendous changes in the residential structure in rural areas. Such changes will surely have a huge impact on the energy supply and demand situation in the country