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湖南是产猪大省,卖猪难比其它省份要突出一些,而且猪价也最低,农户受损失自然也大一些.笔者结合湖南情况,卖猪难路在何方,谈点一管之见.1 认识规律掌握信息是养猪户的先导相隔二三年,卖猪难就会出现一次.如1992年下半年的卖猪难,1995年5月起一年多的卖猪难,到1998年的卖猪难,无不说明其规律性.认识这个规律的决窍,就是要看猪粮比价的合理性.如今年的猪价下跌,是去年玉米丰收后价低,猪粮比价失衡,最高比价达1:8;这样,就刺激了生猪的超常发展.合理比价,一般为1:5～1:5.5之间.另一原因是农户养猪千家万户,老经验是看上年行情养猪,这样势必造成市场行情判断滞后,信息失真的缺限,这种只埋头养猪,不抬头看市场的毛病,就造成了小生产与大市场不相衔接的矛盾.因此认识规律掌握信息养猪是非常重要的.
Hunan is a big pig producing province, selling pigs more prominently than other provinces, but also the lowest pig price, and the loss of farmer households is naturally larger. The author combines Hunan’s situation with the difficulty in selling pigs and talks about what they think. 1 understanding of the law to grasp the information is the leader of pig farmers separated by two or three years, selling pigs will appear difficult as the second half of 1992, selling pigs difficult, more than a year since May 1995 selling pigs difficult to 1998 Of the selling pig difficult, all of its regularity.Awareness of this law knows, is to look at the rationality of pig food parity.Now this year, the price of pigs fell last year after the bumper corn price low, the imbalance of pig grain ratio, the highest price Up to 1: 8; In this way, it stimulates the extraordinary development of pigs. Reasonable parity, usually between 1: 5 ~ 1: 5.5. Another reason is that farmers raise thousands of households, the old experience is to look at the pig market last year , This will inevitably lead to market conditions to determine the lag, the lack of information distortion, this only buried pigs, do not look up the market problems, resulting in a small production and the big market does not match the contradiction. is very important.