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今年上半年,我国天然橡胶累计新增资源89万吨,同比小幅上涨3.5%,预计全年可达200万吨。下半年市场将以小幅震荡走低为基调,但从近两年来看,国内橡胶市场有时会表现出反季节、反预期波动,后市行情也不排除出现反弹回升的可能。但总的来看,除非发生特别情况,预计近期行情不论升降,其幅度都不会太大,走势维持基本平稳。全年价格水平有可能保持在18000元/吨上下,比去年有所回落。
In the first half of this year, China’s natural rubber accumulatively added 890,000 tons of new resources, up slightly by 3.5% over the same period of last year and is expected to reach 2 million tons throughout the year. In the second half of the year, the market will take the slight fluctuation lower as the keynote. However, in the past two years, the domestic rubber market may sometimes display anti-seasons and counter-anticipation fluctuations, and the market quotations do not rule out the possibility of rebound. However, in general, unless there are any special circumstances, it is expected that the market will not be too big in the near future, and the trend will remain basically stable. The annual price level is likely to remain at 18,000 yuan / ton, down from last year.