１问题与思路“八五”地震短临预报攻关号召大家在“新”和“实”字上下功夫，尤其是８０年代末、９０年代初，适逢地震界兴起非线性热，于是，引进、开发了许多地震学地震预报新指标和新方法，促进了地震预报研究的发展．可是，地震预报的实际水平并未因此发生质的飞跃．... 1 Problems and Thinking The Eighth Five-Year Earthquake Earthquake Short-term Prediction has called for everyone to work hard on the “new” and “real” characters, especially in the late 1980s and early 1990s, when the seismological community started to emerge with a nonlinear heat. Therefore, A number of new seismological earthquake prediction indicators and new methods have been developed to promote the development of earthquake prediction research. However, the actual level of earthquake prediction did not make a qualitative leap. ...