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文章利用索罗模型对1978～2009年中部地区的产出和资本、劳动、全要素生产率(TFP)三者的关系进行了计量回归,得出了资本和劳动的产出弹性,并在此基础上对各要素的增长率和贡献率进行了计算。结果表明,1978～2009年间中部地区产出的大部分贡献来源于资本,劳动和全要素生产率对经济增长的贡献作用比较小。因为这种粗放式的经济增长是不可持续的,所以中部地区必须转变经济增长方式,逐步实现集约型增长,实现“中部崛起”。
In this paper, the relationship between output and capital, labor and total factor productivity (TFP) in the central region from 1978 to 2009 has been measured by using the Solow model. The yield elasticity of capital and labor has been derived and based on this On each element of the growth rate and contribution rate were calculated. The results show that most of the contribution of the central region’s output during 1978-2009 comes from the relatively small contribution of capital, labor and total factor productivity to economic growth. Because such extensive economic growth is not sustainable, the central region must change its mode of economic growth and gradually achieve intensive growth so as to achieve “the rise of central China.”