摩根士丹利对2005年全球经济增长的预测,从3.9%调整为3.6%。对除日本以外的亚洲地区经济增长的预测从5.8%调整为5.5%,主要原因是石油价格不断飙升。这次修正具体体现为:来自高油价的“负所得效果”对石油进口国家的影响,以及石油出口国家得到了高收入却创造出 Morgan Stanley’s forecast of global economic growth in 2005 was revised from 3.9% to 3.6%. The forecast for economic growth in Asia excluding Japan is revised from 5.8% to 5.5%, mainly due to the soaring oil prices. The amendment specifically reflects the impact of the “negative income effect” from high oil prices on oil-importing countries and the high income oil-exporting countries have created