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外资流出中国是一种长期的趋势,只是退出速度多快、规模多大还要看具体情况从今年年初开始,资本流出中国的迹象越来越明显。根据国家外汇管理局的统计数字,今年上半年,中国国际收支平衡表下的资本和金融项目逆差为203亿美元。而从季度数来看,自去年四季度出现480亿美元逆差之后,今年第一季度曾转为顺差511亿美元,但第二季度净流出高达714亿美元。在外汇储备方面,今年上半年累计增速也明显放缓,同比少增77%;第二季度更出现了112亿美元的大幅下降。
The outflow of foreign capital out of China is a long-term trend, only the rate of exit is much faster and the scale depends on the specific circumstances. Since the beginning of this year, the signs of capital outflow from China have become increasingly clear. According to statistics released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, the deficit of capital and financial items under the balance of payments in the PRC in the first half of this year was 20.3 billion U.S. dollars. In terms of quarterly numbers, after the deficit of 48 billion U.S. dollars in the fourth quarter of last year, it turned into a surplus of 51.1 billion U.S. dollars in the first quarter of this year, but the net outflow in the second quarter was as high as 71.4 billion U.S. dollars. In terms of foreign exchange reserves, the cumulative growth rate in the first half of this year also slowed down significantly, a 77% year-on-year decrease; the second quarter saw a dramatic drop of 11.2 billion U.S. dollars.