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麦秆蝇害虫每年发生期的早晚,发生程度的轻重,直接关系到防治效果及其对小麦产量的影响程度.准确地掌握麦秆蝇害虫的发生期和发生量,有利于提高农业生产的经济效益,为农业增产增收提供科学依据.因此,研究麦秆蝇中长期预报方法,有着重要的现实意义.本文根据乌拉特前旗和中旗乌加河地区麦秆蝇测报资料进行了统计分析,求得的二元一次回归方程,在实际业务服务中效果较好.
The occurrence rate of wheat straw flies and pests in the morning and evening will have a direct bearing on the control effect and the degree of impact on the wheat yield. Accurately grasp the occurrence period and amount of the pests of the straw flies will help to improve the economy of agricultural production Benefit, and provide scientific basis for increasing agricultural production and income.Therefore, it is of great practical significance to study medium and long-term prediction methods for wheat flies.In this paper, based on the statistical analysis of the measured data of wheat flies in Wulateqian Banner and Zhongqi Wuga River, The binary regression equation obtained in the actual business service is better.