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2011年三季度,在宏观调控政策和国际市场原材料价格走低的影响下,加之上年翘尾因素逐步减弱,我国通货膨胀水平终于见顶回落,价格调控取得初步成效,但宏观经济的总体状况也呈下行态势,经济增长速度持续小幅回落。虽然经济增长的内在动力依然较强,内需保持较快增长,汽车市场明显回暖,但对经济增长的不利因素也有所增加,持续调控对经济增长的不利影响有所显现,房地产市场走弱的风险增大,外部环境动荡不稳对我国的不利影响将增大。四季度,通货膨胀水平将继续回落,2012年二、三季度将可降至适度水平;但经济增长面临较大的不确定性,进一步回落的风险不能排除。下一阶段的宏观调控政策已没有进一步收缩的必要,但也不能马上放松,调控目标要容许经济增长速度小幅回落。
In the third quarter of 2011, under the influence of macro-control policies and the drop of raw material prices in the international market, coupled with the gradual weakening of the hikes in the previous year, the inflation level of China finally peaked and the price control achieved initial success. However, the overall macroeconomic situation In a downward trend, the rate of economic growth continued to drop slightly. Although the internal driving force of economic growth is still strong, the domestic demand maintains a rapid growth, and the automobile market picks up obviously. However, unfavorable factors for economic growth also increase. The adverse effects of sustained regulation and control on economic growth have emerged. The risk of a weaker real estate market Increase, the adverse impact of unstable external environment on our country will increase. In the fourth quarter, inflation will continue to fall. In the second and third quarters of 2012, the economy will fall to a moderate level. However, the economic growth is facing greater uncertainty and the risk of further decline can not be ruled out. The macro-control policies in the next stage have not been necessary for any further contraction, but they can not be relaxed anytime soon. Regulating and controlling targets should allow the rate of economic growth to slightly drop.