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2008年由于世界及美国经济增长可能有所放慢,外需对投资增长的拉动作用将会有所减弱.国内从紧的货币政策及继续加强土地环境调控。所以固定资产增速有望适度回落。但固定资产投资在建总规模依然偏大,流动性过剩继续发展,资金环境较为宽松.以及投资冲动机制短期内尚难根本解决的情况下,投资反弹的压力依然较大。为此,宏观经济政策重点要以抑制投资过快增长为核心,抓紧解决影响投资冲动的深层次体制性问题,促进投资及整个经济增长适度减速运行。
As the world and the U.S. economy may slow down in 2008, the pull of external demand on investment growth will be weakened, the tight monetary policy in China and the continued regulation and control of the land environment. Therefore, the growth rate of fixed assets is expected to moderate down. However, under the circumstances that the total investment in fixed assets under construction is still too large, the excess liquidity will continue to develop and the capital environment is relatively relaxed, and the investment impulse mechanism is hard to be fundamentally solved in the short term, the pressure for investment rebound will still be greater. Therefore, the focus of macroeconomic policies should focus on curbing the excessive growth of investment, pay close attention to resolving deep-seated institutional issues that affect investment impulses, and promote a modest deceleration of investment and overall economic growth.