为了科学构建原油价格波动与国民经济发展的关系,在借鉴国内外专家学者相关模型基础上,考虑不同国民经济指标对油价波动的时滞反馈等因素,构建油价波动对国民经济影响模型.利用原油价格波动对国民经济发展的动态模型,对模型的各部分关系系数进行确定,最后根据所得到的模型对国民经济影响进行实际分析与预测,并得出规避油价波动影响风险的措施. In order to scientifically construct the relationship between the fluctuation of crude oil price and the development of the national economy, this paper constructs the model of the impact of the fluctuation of oil price on the national economy by drawing on the relevant models of experts and scholars both at home and abroad, considering the time lag feedback of different national economic indicators on the fluctuation of oil price, The dynamic model of the price fluctuation on the development of the national economy, the coefficient of the relationship between the various parts of the model to determine the final model based on the impact of the national economy to make a real analysis and forecast, and come to avoid the risk of oil price fluctuations to avoid the risk measures.