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基于对近期未来的人口—经济增长的预测,分析了城市化增长对未来纸制品消费的影响。用“自相关误差回归”的方法检验人口和城市化增长的不同发展路径对于纸制品消费的影响。中国的城市化过程对纸制品消费影响很大,更快的城市化进程,相应的影响会更强烈。比较人口变量和经济变量,城市家庭经济因素相对更加明显。在近期的未来,随着纸制品消费的增加,其对环境污染的压力也会增大。
Based on the prediction of population-economic growth in the near future, the impact of urbanization on the future consumption of paper products is analyzed. Using the “Autocorrelation Error Regression” method to test the impact of different development paths of population and urbanization on the consumption of paper products. The urbanization process in China has a great impact on the consumption of paper products. The faster the process of urbanization, the corresponding impact will be stronger. Comparing population and economic variables, urban household economic factors are relatively more obvious. In the near future, as the consumption of paper products increases, the pressure on environmental pollution will also increase.