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财政政策既要发挥内在的自动稳定器功能,又要体现政府的政策意图,具有与“机会主义”策略一致的内涵。文章将“机会主义”策略融入财政政策规则,对我国财政政策对通胀和产出的调节是否表现出“机会主义”策略进行了研究,得到的主要结论可以概括为:我国财政政策对通胀和经济增长目标值的关注表现出较强的时变性,且其对经济增长的调节依赖于对经济增速中间目标的偏离程度。当经济增速与中间目标的偏离位于区间[-0.95%,2.85%]内时,财政政策将发挥内生的自动稳定器功能,表现出较强的惰性;而当经济增速与其中间目标的偏离位于该区间外时,财政政策则表现出较强的活性,会对经济增长产生积极的调节作用。
The fiscal policy should not only exert its inherent function of automatic stabilizer but also reflect the government’s policy intentions and have the same connotation as the “opportunism” strategy. The article will “opportunism ” strategy into the financial policy rules, the adjustment of the fiscal policy on inflation and output in China whether the “opportunism ” strategy was studied, the main conclusions can be summarized as follows: China’s fiscal policy Concerns about inflation and economic growth target values show strong time variability, and its adjustment of economic growth depends on the degree of deviation from the intermediate target of economic growth. When the deviation between economic growth and the intermediate target is within the interval [-0.95%, 2.85%], the fiscal policy will exert an endogenous auto-stabilizer function and show a strong inertia. When the economic growth rate and its intermediate target Deviations lie outside the range, fiscal policy shows a strong activity, will have a positive regulatory effect on economic growth.