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探讨随州市气象因素与手足口病发病情况之间的关系,为预测随州市手足口病发病情况提供依据。收集2010-2014年随州市手足口病发病资料和气象资料(气温、气压、相对湿度、降水量、日照时数),使用SPSS 17.0对手足口病发病率和气象因素资料进行相关和回归分析。结果显示:2010-2014年随州市手足口病月发病率与平均气温、降水量及日照时数呈正相关(r=0.497、0.405、0.312,P<0.05),与月平均气压呈负相关(r=-0.620,P<0.01),与相对湿度呈正相关,但差异无统计学意义(r=0.246,P>0.05)。多元逐步回归分析结果显示月平均气温和气压为手足口病主要气象影响因子。随州市手足口病发病与高气温和低气压有关。
To explore the relationship between the meteorological factors and the incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in Suizhou and to provide the basis for predicting the incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in Suizhou. The incidence and meteorological data (temperature, pressure, relative humidity, precipitation, sunshine duration) of hand, foot and mouth disease in Suizhou City during 2010-2014 were collected and analyzed by SPSS 17.0. The results showed that monthly incidence of hand-foot-mouth disease in Suizhou was positively correlated with mean temperature, precipitation and sunshine hours in 2010-2014 (r = 0.497,0.405,0.312, P <0.05), and was negatively correlated with monthly mean air pressure = -0.620, P <0.01), but positively correlated with relative humidity, but the difference was not statistically significant (r = 0.246, P> 0.05). The results of multivariate stepwise regression analysis showed that the monthly average air temperature and air pressure were the main meteorological factors affecting HFMD. Hand-foot-mouth disease in Suizhou City is associated with high temperature and depression.