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一个城市的客运出租市场是否需要投放出租汽车和投放数量的多少,不仅影响服务质量,也影响每位出租汽车经营者的自身利益,从而影响整个出租汽车行业的稳定与健康发展。本文对出租汽车影响较大的因素进行了统计和相关性分析,确定了自变量,采用回归模型和曲线拟合的方法建立了未来年份的出租汽车数量预测模型,预测结果和往年历史数据对比表明,时间变量的一元线性模型和实际值较接近;幂函数曲线的预测值增加较快,就呼和浩特市的具体情况,幂函数曲线的预测效果较好。本文给出了适合呼和浩特市区的出租汽车发展趋势和合理的数量预测。
Whether an urban taxi rental market needs to be put into service and how many deliveries will affect not only the quality of service but also the self-interest of each taxi operator will affect the stability and healthy development of the entire taxi industry. In this paper, statistical analysis and correlation analysis of the factors that have a great influence on taxi are carried out. The independent variables are determined, and the regression model and curve fitting method are used to establish the prediction model of the number of taxis in the coming years. The comparison between forecasting results and historical data shows that , The linear model of the time variable is close to the actual value; the predicted value of the power function curve increases rapidly, and the prediction of the power function curve is better in the specific conditions of Hohhot. This paper presents the trend of taxi development in Hohhot urban area and a reasonable quantitative forecast.