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本文基于2002-2012年,中国31个省、直辖市、自治区的面板数据,建立固定效应模型,分析社保基金中的基本养老保险支出水平和基本医疗保险支出水平对城镇居民消费的影响。实证结果表明,基本养老保险支出和基本医疗保险支出的增长对城镇居民消费支出的增长起到推动作用。
Based on the panel data from 2002 to 2012 in 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China, this paper establishes a fixed-effects model to analyze the impact of basic pension insurance expenditure and basic medical insurance expenditure on urban residents’ consumption. The empirical results show that the increase of basic endowment insurance expenditure and basic medical insurance expenditure can promote the growth of urban residents’ consumption expenditure.