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潜艇事故概率计算在潜艇风险分析过程中占有很重要的地位,可以为潜艇结构系统综合的风险分析提供基础。计算结果表明,采用模糊事件树方法有利于了解潜艇结构系统事故的规律。在统计资料不全的情况下,模糊事件树比传统的方法更具有分析优势。本文主要介绍了模糊事件树在潜艇事故概率中的应用。
Submarine accident probability calculation plays a very important role in the submarine risk analysis process, which can provide a foundation for comprehensive risk analysis of submarine structural system. The calculation results show that the fuzzy event tree method is good for understanding the law of submarine structural system accidents. In the case of incomplete statistics, the fuzzy event tree is more analytical than the traditional method. This paper mainly introduces the application of fuzzy event tree in submarine accident probability.