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2017年一季度,中国经济积极因素明显增多,“供需两旺”态势明显,增长动能由“单引擎”向“双引擎”(新动能和传统动能)转变,经济景气继续上升。但中美会否爆发贸易战、美联储加息和东北亚的紧张局势,以及国内资金“脱实向虚”、房价过快上涨和金融风险事件频发等问题,给经济的稳定健康运行带来了不确定性。初步估计,一季度经济增速可能重回“7”时代,GDP增长7%左右,比2016年同期回升0.3个
In the first quarter of 2017, the positive factors of China’s economy have obviously increased. The situation of “supply and demand are prospering” is obvious. The growth momentum will shift from “single engine” to “twin engine” (new momentum and traditional kinetic energy) and the economy will continue rise. However, whether China and the United States will have a trade war, a rate hike by the Federal Reserve and a tense situation in Northeast Asia, as well as problems such as the “withdrawal from real funds to the blunder,” excessive housing prices and frequent financial risk incidents will give the economy a stable and healthy operation Brought uncertainty. According to preliminary estimates, the first quarter economic growth may return to the “7 ” era, GDP growth of about 7%, up 0.3 over the same period in 2016