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2008年以来,国际国内经济形势发生重大而深刻的变化。我国自2003年以来的这轮高速增长带有显著的重化工业化特征,钢铁行业是本轮高速增长的缩影。通过对我国钢铁行业发展走势的分析,对于管窥宏观经济走势未尝没有裨益。同时,我们还试图探讨钢铁行业发展周期走向低谷时是否存在重组整合的可能性,这有助于人们加强对产业政策的理解和对行业未来格局的判断。
Since 2008, major and profound changes have taken place in the international and domestic economic situation. This round of high-speed growth in our country since 2003 carries with it significant features of heavy-chemical industrialization. The steel industry is a microcosm of this rapid growth. Through the analysis of the development trend of China’s steel industry, it is of no help to give a glimpse of the macro-economic trend. At the same time, we also tried to explore the possibility of reorganization and integration when the development cycle of the steel industry is in the doldrums. This will help people to strengthen understanding of industrial policies and judge the future pattern of the industry.