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运用Granger因果检验和脉冲响应函数,分析了我国三大都市经济圈之间的经济溢出效应。结果表明,珠三角经济圈对长三角和京津冀经济圈产生了很强的正溢出效应,长三角经济圈对其他两区域有一定的正溢出效应,京津冀经济圈对珠三角和长三角的经济增长则呈现波动起伏的态势。这一结论揭示了我国三大都市经济圈之间经济增长的关系,为促进区域经济协调发展提供了启示。
Using Granger causality test and impulse response function, this paper analyzes the economic spillover effect among the three metropolitan economic circles in China. The results show that the Pearl River Delta economic circle has a very strong positive spillover effect on the economic circle between the Yangtze River Delta and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The Yangtze River Delta economic circle has a certain positive spillover effect on the other two regions. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Economic Circle The triangular economic growth is fluctuating. This conclusion reveals the economic growth among the three metropolitan economic circles in our country and provides some inspiration for the coordinated development of regional economy.