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运用协整和格兰杰因果分析广东省能源消费与对外贸易之间的相关性。研究结果表明:广东省对外贸易是广东省能源消费的格兰杰原因,但广东省能源消费却不是广东省对外贸易的格兰杰原因。从长期看,广东省对外贸易与能源消耗量呈正相关关系。因此,在能源稀缺的条件下,应优化外贸结构,节约能源,促进外贸的可持续发展。
Using Cointegration and Granger Causality to Analyze the Correlation between Energy Consumption and Foreign Trade in Guangdong Province. The results show that foreign trade in Guangdong Province is the Granger reason for energy consumption in Guangdong Province, but energy consumption in Guangdong Province is not Granger reason for Guangdong’s foreign trade. In the long run, there is a positive correlation between Guangdong’s foreign trade and energy consumption. Therefore, under the conditions of energy shortage, we should optimize the structure of foreign trade, save energy and promote the sustainable development of foreign trade.