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基于ArcGIS平台,利用SPSS11.5中主成分分析模块,选取12个水资源承载力评价指标,对济宁市各县(区)2011年的水资源承载力进行了分析与评价。结果表明,梁山、汶上、嘉祥、金乡、鱼台、泗水县及市中区的水资源承载力属于中等水平,而任城、兖州、曲阜、邹城、微山县(区)则已处于水资源承载力脆弱水平,与当地实际情况相符;并分析获得经济发展、城市化是水资源承载力脆弱区的主要成因。
Based on the ArcGIS platform, the principal component analysis module of SPSS 11.5 was used to select 12 indicators of water resources carrying capacity, and the water resources carrying capacity of all counties (districts) in Jining was analyzed and evaluated. The results showed that the water resources carrying capacity of Liangshan, Wenshang, Jiaxiang, Jinxiang, Yutai, Surabaya and Shizhongqu belonged to medium level, whereas those of Rencheng, Yanzhou, Qufu, Zoucheng and Weishan (districts) At the fragile level of water resources carrying capacity, in line with the local actual situation; and analysis of access to economic development, urbanization is the main cause of water resources carrying capacity of vulnerable areas.