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本文利用新方法测度经济周期同步性,构建1984～2007年面板数据研究中国与OECD国家的经济周期同步性及其传导机制。研究发现,中国同OECD国家的经济周期同步性与传统理论存在一定差异,双边贸易强度、金融与投资开放度、产业结构的相似程度都将显著地增加中国同OECD国家的经济周期同步性。
In this paper, we use the new method to measure the economic cycle synchronization and build the panel data from 1984 to 2007 to study the economic cycle synchronization and its transmission mechanism between China and OECD countries. The study finds that there are some differences in the economic cycle synchronization between China and OECD countries and traditional theories. The intensity of bilateral trade, the degree of openness in finance and investment, and the similarity of industrial structure will significantly increase the economic cycle synchronization between China and OECD countries.